OpenAI Whistleblower FINALLY Speaks: “AI Has A 70% Chance Of Going Horribly Wrong!“
The Diary Of A CEO with Steven Bartlett
Intro
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10 min
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Ex-OpenAI researcher Daniel Kokotajlo walked away from $2 million rather than stay silent, and now reveals why he believes there's a 70% chance AI leads to human extinction, why superintelligence could arrive before the end of the decade, and the one plan he thinks could still save us all!
Daniel Kokotajlo is a former OpenAI researcher and one of the world's leading AI forecasters. He is the founder of the AI Futures Project and the lead author of 'AI 2027', the widely-read scenario mapping the trajectory of artificial intelligence. His follow-up, 'AI 2040: Plan A', sets out how the world could still navigate superintelligence safely.
He explains: ■ What he saw inside OpenAI that made him walk away
■ Why the people building AI privately believe it's coming even sooner than the public is being told ■ What happens if AI becomes powerful enough that humans can no longer control it, and why he puts the odds of catastrophe as high as 70% ■ Why almost every job could be automated, and what that means for the next generation ■ The plan he believes could still lead to abundance and a future worth living in
*00:00:00 Intro
- 00:02:14 Why This AI Mission Could Affect Everyone
- 00:04:01 Why the Average Person Should Care About AI
- 00:08:09 Are AI Experts Overreacting or Sounding the Alarm?
- 00:09:46 Why He Joined OpenAI—and What He Saw Inside
- 00:13:04 Why He Left OpenAI
- 00:15:33 What It Was Like Inside OpenAI During ChatGPT's Launch
- 00:16:56 The Million NDA Controversy Explained
- 00:19:10 Is Full AI Automation Coming Faster Than We Think?
- 00:23:59 The AI 2027 Forecast That Changed the Conversation
- 00:26:13 AGI vs. Superintelligence: The Difference That Matters
- 00:26:57 How Robots Could Soon Become Part of Everyday Life
- 00:30:03 Why AI Works More Like the Human Brain Than You Think
- 00:35:54 Can AI Ever Be Truly Creative?
- 00:40:55 What Are the Real Odds of Human Extinction From AI?
- 00:47:38 What AI Will Do to Jobs
- 00:54:25 The Skills That Will Still Matter in an AI World
- 01:00:01 AI 2040: What the Future Could Look Like
- 01:04:16 The Different Futures AI Could Create
- 01:09:13 Will AI Become Earth's Apex Species?
- 01:12:58 How AI CEOs Really Make Decisions
- 01:15:17 Will AI Decide the 2028 Election?
- 01:18:38 Is There a Safe Path to Accelerating AI?
- 01:21:51 By 2031, AI Could Do 20% of Cognitive Work
- 01:24:55 Should Everyone Receive AI Dividends?
- 01:32:21 What It Will Feel Like to Live Through the AI Revolution
- 01:33:51 How People Find Purpose After AI Replaces Jobs
- 01:45:52 Would He Shut Down AI Forever If He Could?
- 01:49:36 What Can We Actually Do About AI?
- 01:57:05 Is It Already Too Late to Change Course?
Follow Daniel: X - link.thediaryofaceo.com/47vmwiA Substack -link.thediaryofaceo.com/5alnhzB
Daniel's AI predictions: ai-2027.com ai-2040.com
AI risk reading list: blog.redwoodresearch.org/p/ai-futuris...
The Diary Of A CEO: ■ Join DOAC circle here -doaccircle.com ■ Buy The Diary Of A CEO book here -smarturl.it/DOACbook ■ The 1% Diary is back - limited time only:bit.ly/3YFbJbt ■ The Diary Of A CEO Conversation Cards:linkly.link/2hm7r ■ Get email updates -bit.ly/diary-of-a-ceo-yt ■ Follow Steven -g2ul0.app.link/gnGqL4IsKKb
Sponsors: Ketone - ketone.com/STEVEN for 30% off your subscription order Stan - Visit coach.stan.store/?ref=stevenbartlett&... HeyGen - heygen.com/doac
Raw Description
<p class="text-node">Ex-OpenAI researcher Daniel Kokotajlo walked away from $2 million rather than stay silent, and now reveals why he believes there's a 70% chance AI leads to human extinction, why superintelligence could arrive before the end of the decade, and the one plan he thinks could still save us all!</p><p class="text-node">Daniel Kokotajlo is a former OpenAI researcher and one of the world's leading AI forecasters. He is the founder of the AI Futures Project and the lead author of 'AI 2027', the widely-read scenario mapping the trajectory of artificial intelligence. His follow-up, 'AI 2040: Plan A', sets out how the world could still navigate superintelligence safely.</p><p class="text-node"><br>He explains:<br>■ What he saw inside OpenAI that made him walk away</p><p class="text-node">■ Why the people building AI privately believe it's coming even sooner than the public is being told<br>■ What happens if AI becomes powerful enough that humans can no longer control it, and why he puts the odds of catastrophe as high as 70%<br>■ Why almost every job could be automated, and what that means for the next generation<br>■ The plan he believes could still lead to abundance and a future worth living in</p><p class="text-node"></p><p class="text-node"><h3>Chapters</h3><ul><li><strong>00:00:00</strong> Intro</li><li><strong>00:02:14</strong> Why This AI Mission Could Affect Everyone</li><li><strong>00:04:01</strong> Why the Average Person Should Care About AI</li><li><strong>00:08:09</strong> Are AI Experts Overreacting or Sounding the Alarm?</li><li><strong>00:09:46</strong> Why He Joined OpenAI—and What He Saw Inside</li><li><strong>00:13:04</strong> Why He Left OpenAI</li><li><strong>00:15:33</strong> What It Was Like Inside OpenAI During ChatGPT's Launch</li><li><strong>00:16:56</strong> The Million NDA Controversy Explained</li><li><strong>00:19:10</strong> Is Full AI Automation Coming Faster Than We Think?</li><li><strong>00:23:59</strong> The AI 2027 Forecast That Changed the Conversation</li><li><strong>00:26:13</strong> AGI vs. Superintelligence: The Difference That Matters</li><li><strong>00:26:57</strong> How Robots Could Soon Become Part of Everyday Life</li><li><strong>00:30:03</strong> Why AI Works More Like the Human Brain Than You Think</li><li><strong>00:35:54</strong> Can AI Ever Be Truly Creative?</li><li><strong>00:40:55</strong> What Are the Real Odds of Human Extinction From AI?</li><li><strong>00:47:38</strong> What AI Will Do to Jobs</li><li><strong>00:54:25</strong> The Skills That Will Still Matter in an AI World</li><li><strong>01:00:01</strong> AI 2040: What the Future Could Look Like</li><li><strong>01:04:16</strong> The Different Futures AI Could Create</li><li><strong>01:09:13</strong> Will AI Become Earth's Apex Species?</li><li><strong>01:12:58</strong> How AI CEOs Really Make Decisions</li><li><strong>01:15:17</strong> Will AI Decide the 2028 Election?</li><li><strong>01:18:38</strong> Is There a Safe Path to Accelerating AI?</li><li><strong>01:21:51</strong> By 2031, AI Could Do 20% of Cognitive Work</li><li><strong>01:24:55</strong> Should Everyone Receive AI Dividends?</li><li><strong>01:32:21</strong> What It Will Feel Like to Live Through the AI Revolution</li><li><strong>01:33:51</strong> How People Find Purpose After AI Replaces Jobs</li><li><strong>01:45:52</strong> Would He Shut Down AI Forever If He Could?</li><li><strong>01:49:36</strong> What Can We Actually Do About AI?</li><li><strong>01:57:05</strong> Is It Already Too Late to Change Course?</li></ul></p><p class="text-node"><br>Follow Daniel:<br>X - <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer" class="link" href="https://link.thediaryofaceo.com/47vmwiA">https://link.thediaryofaceo.com/47vmwiA</a> <br>Substack -<a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer" class="link" href="https://substack.com/@danielkokotajlo"> </a><a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer" class="link" href="https://link.thediaryofaceo.com/5alnhzB">https://link.thediaryofaceo.com/5alnhzB</a> <br><br>Daniel's AI predictions:<br><a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" class="link" href="https://ai-2027.com/">https://ai-2027.com/</a><br><a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" class="link" href="https://ai-2040.com/">https://ai-2040.com/</a><br><br>AI risk reading list:<br><a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" class="link" href="https://blog.redwoodresearch.org/p/ai-futurism-reading-list">https://blog.redwoodresearch.org/p/ai-futurism-reading-list</a></p><p class="text-node"><br>The Diary Of A CEO:<br>■ Join DOAC circle here -<a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer" class="link" href="https://doaccircle.com/"> https://doaccircle.com/<br></a>■ Buy The Diary Of A CEO book here -<a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer" class="link" href="https://smarturl.it/DOACbook"> https://smarturl.it/DOACbook<br></a>■ The 1% Diary is back - limited time only:<a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer" class="link" href="https://bit.ly/3YFbJbt"> https://bit.ly/3YFbJbt<br></a>■ The Diary Of A CEO Conversation Cards:<a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer" class="link" href="https://linkly.link/2hm7r"> https://linkly.link/2hm7r<br></a>■ Get email updates -<a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer" class="link" href="https://bit.ly/diary-of-a-ceo-yt"> https://bit.ly/diary-of-a-ceo-yt<br></a>■ Follow Steven -<a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer" class="link" href="https://g2ul0.app.link/gnGqL4IsKKb"> https://g2ul0.app.link/gnGqL4IsKKb</a></p><p class="text-node"><br>Sponsors:<br>Ketone - <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" class="link" href="https://ketone.com/STEVEN">https://ketone.com/STEVEN</a> for 30% off your subscription order<br>Stan - Visit <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" class="link" href="https://coach.stan.store/?ref=stevenbartlett&utm_source=youtube&utm_medium=podcast&utm_campaign=episode11">https://coach.stan.store/?ref=stevenbartlett&utm_source=youtube&utm_medium=podcast&utm_campaign=episode11</a><br>HeyGen - <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" class="link" href="https://heygen.com/doac">https://heygen.com/doac</a></p>
Chapters (1/30)
Show Notes
Ex-OpenAI researcher Daniel Kokotajlo walked away from $2 million rather than stay silent, and now reveals why he believes there's a 70% chance AI leads to human extinction, why superintelligence could arrive before the end of the decade, and the one plan he thinks could still save us all!
Daniel Kokotajlo is a former OpenAI researcher and one of the world's leading AI forecasters. He is the founder of the AI Futures Project and the lead author of 'AI 2027', the widely-read scenario mapping the trajectory of artificial intelligence. His follow-up, 'AI 2040: Plan A', sets out how the world could still navigate superintelligence safely.
He explains: ■ What he saw inside OpenAI that made him walk away
■ Why the people building AI privately believe it's coming even sooner than the public is being told ■ What happens if AI becomes powerful enough that humans can no longer control it, and why he puts the odds of catastrophe as high as 70% ■ Why almost every job could be automated, and what that means for the next generation ■ The plan he believes could still lead to abundance and a future worth living in
*00:00:00 Intro
- 00:02:14 Why This AI Mission Could Affect Everyone
- 00:04:01 Why the Average Person Should Care About AI
- 00:08:09 Are AI Experts Overreacting or Sounding the Alarm?
- 00:09:46 Why He Joined OpenAI—and What He Saw Inside
- 00:13:04 Why He Left OpenAI
- 00:15:33 What It Was Like Inside OpenAI During ChatGPT's Launch
- 00:16:56 The Million NDA Controversy Explained
- 00:19:10 Is Full AI Automation Coming Faster Than We Think?
- 00:23:59 The AI 2027 Forecast That Changed the Conversation
- 00:26:13 AGI vs. Superintelligence: The Difference That Matters
- 00:26:57 How Robots Could Soon Become Part of Everyday Life
- 00:30:03 Why AI Works More Like the Human Brain Than You Think
- 00:35:54 Can AI Ever Be Truly Creative?
- 00:40:55 What Are the Real Odds of Human Extinction From AI?
- 00:47:38 What AI Will Do to Jobs
- 00:54:25 The Skills That Will Still Matter in an AI World
- 01:00:01 AI 2040: What the Future Could Look Like
- 01:04:16 The Different Futures AI Could Create
- 01:09:13 Will AI Become Earth's Apex Species?
- 01:12:58 How AI CEOs Really Make Decisions
- 01:15:17 Will AI Decide the 2028 Election?
- 01:18:38 Is There a Safe Path to Accelerating AI?
- 01:21:51 By 2031, AI Could Do 20% of Cognitive Work
- 01:24:55 Should Everyone Receive AI Dividends?
- 01:32:21 What It Will Feel Like to Live Through the AI Revolution
- 01:33:51 How People Find Purpose After AI Replaces Jobs
- 01:45:52 Would He Shut Down AI Forever If He Could?
- 01:49:36 What Can We Actually Do About AI?
- 01:57:05 Is It Already Too Late to Change Course?
Follow Daniel: X - link.thediaryofaceo.com/47vmwiA Substack -link.thediaryofaceo.com/5alnhzB
Daniel's AI predictions: ai-2027.com ai-2040.com
AI risk reading list: blog.redwoodresearch.org/p/ai-futuris...
The Diary Of A CEO: ■ Join DOAC circle here -doaccircle.com ■ Buy The Diary Of A CEO book here -smarturl.it/DOACbook ■ The 1% Diary is back - limited time only:bit.ly/3YFbJbt ■ The Diary Of A CEO Conversation Cards:linkly.link/2hm7r ■ Get email updates -bit.ly/diary-of-a-ceo-yt ■ Follow Steven -g2ul0.app.link/gnGqL4IsKKb
Sponsors: Ketone - ketone.com/STEVEN for 30% off your subscription order Stan - Visit coach.stan.store/?ref=stevenbartlett&... HeyGen - heygen.com/doac
Raw Description
<p class="text-node">Ex-OpenAI researcher Daniel Kokotajlo walked away from $2 million rather than stay silent, and now reveals why he believes there's a 70% chance AI leads to human extinction, why superintelligence could arrive before the end of the decade, and the one plan he thinks could still save us all!</p><p class="text-node">Daniel Kokotajlo is a former OpenAI researcher and one of the world's leading AI forecasters. He is the founder of the AI Futures Project and the lead author of 'AI 2027', the widely-read scenario mapping the trajectory of artificial intelligence. His follow-up, 'AI 2040: Plan A', sets out how the world could still navigate superintelligence safely.</p><p class="text-node"><br>He explains:<br>■ What he saw inside OpenAI that made him walk away</p><p class="text-node">■ Why the people building AI privately believe it's coming even sooner than the public is being told<br>■ What happens if AI becomes powerful enough that humans can no longer control it, and why he puts the odds of catastrophe as high as 70%<br>■ Why almost every job could be automated, and what that means for the next generation<br>■ The plan he believes could still lead to abundance and a future worth living in</p><p class="text-node"></p><p class="text-node"><h3>Chapters</h3><ul><li><strong>00:00:00</strong> Intro</li><li><strong>00:02:14</strong> Why This AI Mission Could Affect Everyone</li><li><strong>00:04:01</strong> Why the Average Person Should Care About AI</li><li><strong>00:08:09</strong> Are AI Experts Overreacting or Sounding the Alarm?</li><li><strong>00:09:46</strong> Why He Joined OpenAI—and What He Saw Inside</li><li><strong>00:13:04</strong> Why He Left OpenAI</li><li><strong>00:15:33</strong> What It Was Like Inside OpenAI During ChatGPT's Launch</li><li><strong>00:16:56</strong> The Million NDA Controversy Explained</li><li><strong>00:19:10</strong> Is Full AI Automation Coming Faster Than We Think?</li><li><strong>00:23:59</strong> The AI 2027 Forecast That Changed the Conversation</li><li><strong>00:26:13</strong> AGI vs. Superintelligence: The Difference That Matters</li><li><strong>00:26:57</strong> How Robots Could Soon Become Part of Everyday Life</li><li><strong>00:30:03</strong> Why AI Works More Like the Human Brain Than You Think</li><li><strong>00:35:54</strong> Can AI Ever Be Truly Creative?</li><li><strong>00:40:55</strong> What Are the Real Odds of Human Extinction From AI?</li><li><strong>00:47:38</strong> What AI Will Do to Jobs</li><li><strong>00:54:25</strong> The Skills That Will Still Matter in an AI World</li><li><strong>01:00:01</strong> AI 2040: What the Future Could Look Like</li><li><strong>01:04:16</strong> The Different Futures AI Could Create</li><li><strong>01:09:13</strong> Will AI Become Earth's Apex Species?</li><li><strong>01:12:58</strong> How AI CEOs Really Make Decisions</li><li><strong>01:15:17</strong> Will AI Decide the 2028 Election?</li><li><strong>01:18:38</strong> Is There a Safe Path to Accelerating AI?</li><li><strong>01:21:51</strong> By 2031, AI Could Do 20% of Cognitive Work</li><li><strong>01:24:55</strong> Should Everyone Receive AI Dividends?</li><li><strong>01:32:21</strong> What It Will Feel Like to Live Through the AI Revolution</li><li><strong>01:33:51</strong> How People Find Purpose After AI Replaces Jobs</li><li><strong>01:45:52</strong> Would He Shut Down AI Forever If He Could?</li><li><strong>01:49:36</strong> What Can We Actually Do About AI?</li><li><strong>01:57:05</strong> Is It Already Too Late to Change Course?</li></ul></p><p class="text-node"><br>Follow Daniel:<br>X - <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer" class="link" href="https://link.thediaryofaceo.com/47vmwiA">https://link.thediaryofaceo.com/47vmwiA</a> <br>Substack -<a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer" class="link" href="https://substack.com/@danielkokotajlo"> </a><a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer" class="link" href="https://link.thediaryofaceo.com/5alnhzB">https://link.thediaryofaceo.com/5alnhzB</a> <br><br>Daniel's AI predictions:<br><a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" class="link" href="https://ai-2027.com/">https://ai-2027.com/</a><br><a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" class="link" href="https://ai-2040.com/">https://ai-2040.com/</a><br><br>AI risk reading list:<br><a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" class="link" href="https://blog.redwoodresearch.org/p/ai-futurism-reading-list">https://blog.redwoodresearch.org/p/ai-futurism-reading-list</a></p><p class="text-node"><br>The Diary Of A CEO:<br>■ Join DOAC circle here -<a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer" class="link" href="https://doaccircle.com/"> https://doaccircle.com/<br></a>■ Buy The Diary Of A CEO book here -<a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer" class="link" href="https://smarturl.it/DOACbook"> https://smarturl.it/DOACbook<br></a>■ The 1% Diary is back - limited time only:<a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer" class="link" href="https://bit.ly/3YFbJbt"> https://bit.ly/3YFbJbt<br></a>■ The Diary Of A CEO Conversation Cards:<a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer" class="link" href="https://linkly.link/2hm7r"> https://linkly.link/2hm7r<br></a>■ Get email updates -<a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer" class="link" href="https://bit.ly/diary-of-a-ceo-yt"> https://bit.ly/diary-of-a-ceo-yt<br></a>■ Follow Steven -<a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer" class="link" href="https://g2ul0.app.link/gnGqL4IsKKb"> https://g2ul0.app.link/gnGqL4IsKKb</a></p><p class="text-node"><br>Sponsors:<br>Ketone - <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" class="link" href="https://ketone.com/STEVEN">https://ketone.com/STEVEN</a> for 30% off your subscription order<br>Stan - Visit <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" class="link" href="https://coach.stan.store/?ref=stevenbartlett&utm_source=youtube&utm_medium=podcast&utm_campaign=episode11">https://coach.stan.store/?ref=stevenbartlett&utm_source=youtube&utm_medium=podcast&utm_campaign=episode11</a><br>HeyGen - <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" class="link" href="https://heygen.com/doac">https://heygen.com/doac</a></p>