Iran’s Trump Card: Hormuz | EYES ON GEOPOLITICS
The Team House
We break down the Iran MOU, the fight over the Strait of Hormuz, Lebanon’s role in the deal, and why the panel sees the agreement as a major strategic win for Tehran and a serious problem for Washington. We also dig into Iran’s nuclear program, Hezbollah, U.S. military messaging, bad battle-damage assessments, and whether the United States still has any real leverage left in the next 60 days of negotiations. GhostBed ⬇️ ghostbed.com/team FOR 10% off! Support the show on Patreon:⬇️ patreon.com/TheTeamHouse Marc's new article: engelsbergideas.com/author/sam-worby-... Subscribe to our newsletter!!!! teamhousepodcast.kit.com/join Jack's news outlet:⬇️ thehighside.substack.com Find Jon Hackett here:⬇️ Jon's Twitter: @jonathanhackett Jon's LinkedIn: thejonathanhackett Jon's books: amazon.com/stores/author/B0C5L659N5?c... Linkedin: thejonathanhackett Twitter: @jonathanhackett Check out Mick's new podcast here:⬇️ Apple Podcasts: podcasts.apple.com/at/podcast/pub-and... Spotify: open.spotify.com/show/1k3QPmkAMwnGJxM... Youtube: @UCd0Hq6QFk8CoTu5j-VU0Ong Find Mick Mulroy here: Fogbow ⬇️ fogbow.com Lobo Institute ⬇️ loboinstitute.org Twitter ⬇️ @mickmulroy LinkedIn ⬇️ michael-patrick-mulroy-31198b52 Bluesky ⬇️ bsky.app/profile/mickmulroy.bsky.social Mick’s publications ⬇️ loboinstitute.org/publications/public... Whitefish security summit ⬇️ whitefishsecuritysummit.com Find Marc P here: @Mpolymer Find Andy Milburn here: Twitter ⬇️ @i LinkedIn ⬇️ andrewmilburn2023 Substack ⬇️ amilburn.substack.com Andy’s book ⬇️ amazon.com/When-Tempest-Gathers-Mogad... Bluesky ⬇️ bsky.app/profile/andy-milburn.bsky.so... Find Jason Lyons here: LinkedIn ⬇️ jason-lyons-666873316 Bluesky ⬇️ bsky.app/profile/bgsilverback73.bsky.... "Karl Casey @ White Bat Audio
Become a supporter of this podcast: spreaker.com/podcast/the-team-house--....
Raw Description
We break down the Iran MOU, the fight over the Strait of Hormuz, Lebanon’s role in the deal, and why the panel sees the agreement as a major strategic win for Tehran and a serious problem for Washington.<br />We also dig into Iran’s nuclear program, Hezbollah, U.S. military messaging, bad battle-damage assessments, and whether the United States still has any real leverage left in the next 60 days of negotiations.<br />GhostBed ⬇️<br />https://www.ghostbed.com/team<br />FOR 10% off! <br />Support the show on Patreon:⬇️<br />https://www.patreon.com/TheTeamHouse<br />Marc's new article:<br />https://engelsbergideas.com/author/sam-worby-marc-polymeropoulos/<br />Subscribe to our newsletter!!!!<br />https://teamhousepodcast.kit.com/join<br />Jack's news outlet:⬇️<br />https://thehighside.substack.com/<br />Find Jon Hackett here:⬇️<br />Jon's Twitter:<br />https://x.com/jonathanhackett<br />Jon's LinkedIn:<br />https://www.linkedin.com/in/thejonathanhackett<br />Jon's books:<br />https://www.amazon.com/stores/author/B0C5L659N5?ccs_id=e11a2062-f8d3-498e-bfd7-7d2f3869caf6<br />Linkedin: https://www.linkedin.com/in/thejonathanhackett<br />Twitter: https://x.com/jonathanhackett<br />Check out Mick's new podcast here:⬇️<br />Apple Podcasts:<br />https://podcasts.apple.com/at/podcast/pub-and-porch-applied-stoicism/id1836955475<br />Spotify:<br />https://open.spotify.com/show/1k3QPmkAMwnGJxMLDwUSSd?si=n6piIu8XRcag1Z0K43A3bQ<br />Youtube:<br />https://www.youtube.com/@UCd0Hq6QFk8CoTu5j-VU0Ong <br />Find Mick Mulroy here: <br />Fogbow ⬇️<br />https://fogbow.com/<br />Lobo Institute ⬇️<br />https://www.loboinstitute.org/<br />Twitter ⬇️<br />https://x.com/mickmulroy?s=21&t=-Ze3F_Ix2vlJ18KFvORTCA<br />LinkedIn ⬇️<br />https://www.linkedin.com/in/michael-patrick-mulroy-31198b52/<br />Bluesky ⬇️<br />https://bsky.app/profile/mickmulroy.bsky.social<br />Mick’s publications ⬇️<br />https://www.loboinstitute.org/publications/publications-of-michael-mick-patrick-mulroy/<br />Whitefish security summit ⬇️<br />https://whitefishsecuritysummit.com<br />Find Marc P here:<br />https://x.com/Mpolymer<br />Find Andy Milburn here: <br />Twitter ⬇️<br />https://twitter.com/i/flow/login?redirect_after_login=%2Fandymilburn8<br />LinkedIn ⬇️<br />https://www.linkedin.com/in/andrewmilburn2023<br />Substack ⬇️<br />https://amilburn.substack.com/<br />Andy’s book ⬇️<br />https://www.amazon.com/When-Tempest-Gathers-Mogadishu-Operations<br />Bluesky ⬇️<br />https://bsky.app/profile/andy-milburn.bsky.social<br />Find Jason Lyons here: <br />LinkedIn ⬇️<br />https://www.linkedin.com/in/jason-lyons-666873316?u<br />Bluesky ⬇️<br />https://bsky.app/profile/bgsilverback73.bsky.social<br />"Karl Casey @ White Bat Audio<br />00:00 — Start<br />03:26 — Iran’s Strategy After the MOU<br />09:16 — Iran’s Resistance Economy and Regime Survival<br />14:42 — The Art of a Bad Deal<br />19:56 — The Missing NSC Process<br />24:49 — Proxies, Ballistic Missiles, and the JCPOA Problem<br />31:42 — Verification, HEU, and the Lebanon Fuse<br />36:42 — Pentagon “Happy Math” and Bad BDA<br />48:12 — A Possible Clandestine Nuclear Program<br />54:50 — Iranian Leadership Splits and the Search for Moderates<br />01:01:11 — Can the Strait of Hormuz Be Reopened by Force?<br />01:07:23 — CENTCOM, Military Advice, and Strategic Failure<br /><br />Become a supporter of this podcast: <a href="https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-team-house--5960890/support?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=rss">https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-team-house--5960890/support</a>.
Chapters (1/12)
Show Notes
We break down the Iran MOU, the fight over the Strait of Hormuz, Lebanon’s role in the deal, and why the panel sees the agreement as a major strategic win for Tehran and a serious problem for Washington. We also dig into Iran’s nuclear program, Hezbollah, U.S. military messaging, bad battle-damage assessments, and whether the United States still has any real leverage left in the next 60 days of negotiations. GhostBed ⬇️ ghostbed.com/team FOR 10% off! Support the show on Patreon:⬇️ patreon.com/TheTeamHouse Marc's new article: engelsbergideas.com/author/sam-worby-... Subscribe to our newsletter!!!! teamhousepodcast.kit.com/join Jack's news outlet:⬇️ thehighside.substack.com Find Jon Hackett here:⬇️ Jon's Twitter: @jonathanhackett Jon's LinkedIn: thejonathanhackett Jon's books: amazon.com/stores/author/B0C5L659N5?c... Linkedin: thejonathanhackett Twitter: @jonathanhackett Check out Mick's new podcast here:⬇️ Apple Podcasts: podcasts.apple.com/at/podcast/pub-and... Spotify: open.spotify.com/show/1k3QPmkAMwnGJxM... Youtube: @UCd0Hq6QFk8CoTu5j-VU0Ong Find Mick Mulroy here: Fogbow ⬇️ fogbow.com Lobo Institute ⬇️ loboinstitute.org Twitter ⬇️ @mickmulroy LinkedIn ⬇️ michael-patrick-mulroy-31198b52 Bluesky ⬇️ bsky.app/profile/mickmulroy.bsky.social Mick’s publications ⬇️ loboinstitute.org/publications/public... Whitefish security summit ⬇️ whitefishsecuritysummit.com Find Marc P here: @Mpolymer Find Andy Milburn here: Twitter ⬇️ @i LinkedIn ⬇️ andrewmilburn2023 Substack ⬇️ amilburn.substack.com Andy’s book ⬇️ amazon.com/When-Tempest-Gathers-Mogad... Bluesky ⬇️ bsky.app/profile/andy-milburn.bsky.so... Find Jason Lyons here: LinkedIn ⬇️ jason-lyons-666873316 Bluesky ⬇️ bsky.app/profile/bgsilverback73.bsky.... "Karl Casey @ White Bat Audio
Become a supporter of this podcast: spreaker.com/podcast/the-team-house--....
Raw Description
We break down the Iran MOU, the fight over the Strait of Hormuz, Lebanon’s role in the deal, and why the panel sees the agreement as a major strategic win for Tehran and a serious problem for Washington.<br />We also dig into Iran’s nuclear program, Hezbollah, U.S. military messaging, bad battle-damage assessments, and whether the United States still has any real leverage left in the next 60 days of negotiations.<br />GhostBed ⬇️<br />https://www.ghostbed.com/team<br />FOR 10% off! <br />Support the show on Patreon:⬇️<br />https://www.patreon.com/TheTeamHouse<br />Marc's new article:<br />https://engelsbergideas.com/author/sam-worby-marc-polymeropoulos/<br />Subscribe to our newsletter!!!!<br />https://teamhousepodcast.kit.com/join<br />Jack's news outlet:⬇️<br />https://thehighside.substack.com/<br />Find Jon Hackett here:⬇️<br />Jon's Twitter:<br />https://x.com/jonathanhackett<br />Jon's LinkedIn:<br />https://www.linkedin.com/in/thejonathanhackett<br />Jon's books:<br />https://www.amazon.com/stores/author/B0C5L659N5?ccs_id=e11a2062-f8d3-498e-bfd7-7d2f3869caf6<br />Linkedin: https://www.linkedin.com/in/thejonathanhackett<br />Twitter: https://x.com/jonathanhackett<br />Check out Mick's new podcast here:⬇️<br />Apple Podcasts:<br />https://podcasts.apple.com/at/podcast/pub-and-porch-applied-stoicism/id1836955475<br />Spotify:<br />https://open.spotify.com/show/1k3QPmkAMwnGJxMLDwUSSd?si=n6piIu8XRcag1Z0K43A3bQ<br />Youtube:<br />https://www.youtube.com/@UCd0Hq6QFk8CoTu5j-VU0Ong <br />Find Mick Mulroy here: <br />Fogbow ⬇️<br />https://fogbow.com/<br />Lobo Institute ⬇️<br />https://www.loboinstitute.org/<br />Twitter ⬇️<br />https://x.com/mickmulroy?s=21&t=-Ze3F_Ix2vlJ18KFvORTCA<br />LinkedIn ⬇️<br />https://www.linkedin.com/in/michael-patrick-mulroy-31198b52/<br />Bluesky ⬇️<br />https://bsky.app/profile/mickmulroy.bsky.social<br />Mick’s publications ⬇️<br />https://www.loboinstitute.org/publications/publications-of-michael-mick-patrick-mulroy/<br />Whitefish security summit ⬇️<br />https://whitefishsecuritysummit.com<br />Find Marc P here:<br />https://x.com/Mpolymer<br />Find Andy Milburn here: <br />Twitter ⬇️<br />https://twitter.com/i/flow/login?redirect_after_login=%2Fandymilburn8<br />LinkedIn ⬇️<br />https://www.linkedin.com/in/andrewmilburn2023<br />Substack ⬇️<br />https://amilburn.substack.com/<br />Andy’s book ⬇️<br />https://www.amazon.com/When-Tempest-Gathers-Mogadishu-Operations<br />Bluesky ⬇️<br />https://bsky.app/profile/andy-milburn.bsky.social<br />Find Jason Lyons here: <br />LinkedIn ⬇️<br />https://www.linkedin.com/in/jason-lyons-666873316?u<br />Bluesky ⬇️<br />https://bsky.app/profile/bgsilverback73.bsky.social<br />"Karl Casey @ White Bat Audio<br />00:00 — Start<br />03:26 — Iran’s Strategy After the MOU<br />09:16 — Iran’s Resistance Economy and Regime Survival<br />14:42 — The Art of a Bad Deal<br />19:56 — The Missing NSC Process<br />24:49 — Proxies, Ballistic Missiles, and the JCPOA Problem<br />31:42 — Verification, HEU, and the Lebanon Fuse<br />36:42 — Pentagon “Happy Math” and Bad BDA<br />48:12 — A Possible Clandestine Nuclear Program<br />54:50 — Iranian Leadership Splits and the Search for Moderates<br />01:01:11 — Can the Strait of Hormuz Be Reopened by Force?<br />01:07:23 — CENTCOM, Military Advice, and Strategic Failure<br /><br />Become a supporter of this podcast: <a href="https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-team-house--5960890/support?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=rss">https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-team-house--5960890/support</a>.